विरोध का गुरुत्वाकर्षण अब इदलिब प्रांत और इदलिब शहर की ओर शिफ्ट हो रहा है। उस शहर पर विपक्ष के अल-कायदा गुट और अन्य सलाफी ताकतों का दबदबा है। अमेरिका और पश्चिमी देश उन सलाफियों और अल-कायदा का समर्थन नहीं कर सकते। इसका मतलब यह है कि विद्रोहियों के लिए भारी मात्रा में समर्थन जुटाना बहुत मुश्किल होने वाला है।
The center of gravity for opposition shifts to Idlib province and Idlib city. That city is dominated by the al-Qaida wing of the opposition and other Salafist forces. The United States and the West cannot support those Salafists and al-Qaida. It means that the rebels are going to have a very hard time getting significant amounts of support.
The center of gravity for opposition shifts to Idlib province and Idlib city. That city is dominated by the al-Qaida wing of the opposition and other Salafist forces. The United States and the West cannot support those Salafists and al-Qaida. It means that the rebels are going to have a very hard time getting significant amounts of support.
उत्तरी मध्य प्रदेश, लेबनान, सीरिया और इराक में एक नया सुरक्षा ताना-बाना बुना जा रहा है, जहाँ ईरान समर्थक सरकारें काफी हद तक रूस के समर्थन से अपने इलाके में पकड़ मजबूत कर रही हैं। और इस बात ने सऊदी अरब तथा अमेरिका के कई सहयोगियों — जैसे इजराइल, खाड़ी देशों और तुर्की — के बीच भारी चिंता और खलबली पैदा कर दी है, क्योंकि वे सुरक्षा के इस नए ढांचे तथा ईरान और रूस के बढ़ते प्रभाव को अपने लिए बेहद नुकसानदेह मानते हैं।
New security architecture is being laid down in the Northern Middle East, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, in which pro-Iranian governments are consolidating their grip on the territory and they're backed by Russia, to a large degree. And this has caused great grief and consternation in Saudi Arabia and amongst many of the United States' allies, Israel, the Gulf countries, Turkey, because they see this new architecture of security and Iranian influence and Russian influence as something that's very bad for them.
New security architecture is being laid down in the Northern Middle East, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, in which pro-Iranian governments are consolidating their grip on the territory and they're backed by Russia, to a large degree. And this has caused great grief and consternation in Saudi Arabia and amongst many of the United States' allies, Israel, the Gulf countries, Turkey, because they see this new architecture of security and Iranian influence and Russian influence as something that's very bad for them.
हमने देखा कि जैसे ही सीरियाई सैनिक अलेप्पो की तरफ बढ़े, आईएसआईएस ने पाल्मीरा पर कब्जा कर लिया। लेकिन आईएसआईएस के दिन अब गिने-चुने हैं। डोनाल्ड ट्रंप प्रशासन ने साफ कह दिया है कि वे आईएसआईएस पर ध्यान केंद्रित करेंगे और रूस के साथ मिलकर काम करेंगे। अब, यह तो वक्त ही बताएगा कि वे वाकई रूस के साथ काम करते हैं या नहीं, लेकिन यह साफ है कि आईएसआईएस को कुचल दिया जाएगा।
We saw that, as Syrian troops went to Aleppo, ISIS took Palmyra. But ISIS' days are numbered. The Donald Trump administration has said that they're going to concentrate on ISIS and they're going to work with Russia. Now, we don't know whether they really will work with Russia or not, but it's clear that ISIS is going to be pounded.
We saw that, as Syrian troops went to Aleppo, ISIS took Palmyra. But ISIS' days are numbered. The Donald Trump administration has said that they're going to concentrate on ISIS and they're going to work with Russia. Now, we don't know whether they really will work with Russia or not, but it's clear that ISIS is going to be pounded.
यह बिल्कुल स्पष्ट है कि जैसे इराक में इराकी शासन, वैसे ही सीरिया में सीरियाई शासन भी दोनों देशों में विपक्षी ताकतों को खत्म करने के अमेरिकी प्रयासों का फायदा उठा रहा है। और क्षितिज पर ऐसा कोई दूसरा विद्रोही गुट नजर नहीं आता जो आईएसआईएस के कब्जे वाले पूर्वी सीरिया को अपने नियंत्रण में ले सके।
It's quite clear the Syrian regime in Syria, as the Iraqi regime in Iraq is benefiting from America's effort to destroy opposition forces in both countries. And there aren't any other rebel forces that one can foresee on the horizon that will be able to take Eastern Syria that's now occupied by ISIS.
It's quite clear the Syrian regime in Syria, as the Iraqi regime in Iraq is benefiting from America's effort to destroy opposition forces in both countries. And there aren't any other rebel forces that one can foresee on the horizon that will be able to take Eastern Syria that's now occupied by ISIS.
आज 2017 में सीरियाई सरकार भले ही कमज़ोर हो, लेकिन वह लगातार ताकतवर होती जा रही है। और मुझे लगता है कि आने वाले कुछ ही सालों में आप देखेंगे कि सीरियाई सरकार अधिकांश सीरिया पर दोबारा कब्जा कर लेगी।
The Syrian government is weak today in 2017, but it's been gathering strength. And I think it's likely that, in the next few years, you will see the Syrian government retake much of Syria.
The Syrian government is weak today in 2017, but it's been gathering strength. And I think it's likely that, in the next few years, you will see the Syrian government retake much of Syria.
मुझे लगता है कि बशर अल-असद का शासन मजबूत स्थिति में है। मुझे लगता है कि उसे रूस, ईरान और हिजबुल्लाह का समर्थन हासिल है। और विद्रोहियों के खिलाफ चल रही इस निरंतर लड़ाई में यह देखना मुश्किल है कि उनके रास्ते में कौन टिक पाएगा।
I think the Bashar Assad regime is on a roll. I think it's got the backing of Russia and Iran and Hezbollah. And it's hard to see who is going to stand in their way in this steady fight against the insurgents.
I think the Bashar Assad regime is on a roll. I think it's got the backing of Russia and Iran and Hezbollah. And it's hard to see who is going to stand in their way in this steady fight against the insurgents.
मैं मानता हूँ कि कुर्द लोग एक मुश्किल स्थिति में हैं। उन्हें कुछ हद तक अमेरिकी समर्थन हासिल है। यह समर्थन कितना स्थिर रहेगा, यह स्पष्ट नहीं है। लेकिन उन्होंने एक मजबूत सेना खड़ी कर ली है और उत्तरी सीरिया में एक स्वायत्त जीवन के संस्थानों का निर्माण शुरू कर दिया है। कुर्दों के प्रति तुर्की की दुश्मनी और इस बात की उनकी ज़िद कि कोई स्वतंत्र कुर्द राज्य या यहाँ तक कि कोई स्वायत्त इलाका भी न बचे, धीरे-धीरे कुर्दों को बशर अल-असद के पाले में धकेल देगी।
I do believe that the Kurds are in a difficult situation. They do have some American support. How consistent that will be is unclear. But they have built up a strong military, and they have begun to build the institutions of an autonomous life in Northern Syria. Turkey's enmity towards the Kurds and their desire to make sure there is no independent Kurdish state or even really autonomous enclave is going to push the Kurds into Bashar Assad's hands over time.
I do believe that the Kurds are in a difficult situation. They do have some American support. How consistent that will be is unclear. But they have built up a strong military, and they have begun to build the institutions of an autonomous life in Northern Syria. Turkey's enmity towards the Kurds and their desire to make sure there is no independent Kurdish state or even really autonomous enclave is going to push the Kurds into Bashar Assad's hands over time.
कुर्दों को बशर अल-असद के साथ कोई ऐसा समझौता करना ही होगा जिसके तहत वे सीरियाई राज्य के भीतर और किसी ना किसी सीरियाई प्राधिकारी के अधीन रहें, ताकि उन्हें तुर्कों के खिलाफ अंतरराष्ट्रीय वैधता और सीरियाई सेना की सुरक्षा मिल सके। वे असद के साथ किस तरह का सौदा कर पाएंगे, यह स्पष्ट नहीं है। वे किस तरह की बातचीत पर पहुँचेंगे, यह भी साफ नहीं है। देखना यह होगा कि क्या उन्हें इराक के कुर्दों की तरह बड़े पैमाने पर स्वायत्तता मिलती है या उससे कम। यह इस पूरी प्रक्रिया से निकलने वाली सबसे बड़ी वार्ताओं में से एक होगी।
Kurds are going to have to strike a bargain with Bashar Assad that will keep them in the Syrian state and under some kind of Syrian authority, so that they can have the protection of international legitimacy and the Syrian army against the Turks. How they can bargain with Assad is unclear. What kind of negotiations they can come to, unclear. We will see whether they get something like the Kurds in Iraq, which is a large measure of autonomy, or something less than that. That will be one of the big negotiations to come out of this process.
Kurds are going to have to strike a bargain with Bashar Assad that will keep them in the Syrian state and under some kind of Syrian authority, so that they can have the protection of international legitimacy and the Syrian army against the Turks. How they can bargain with Assad is unclear. What kind of negotiations they can come to, unclear. We will see whether they get something like the Kurds in Iraq, which is a large measure of autonomy, or something less than that. That will be one of the big negotiations to come out of this process.